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2024-12-13 04:31:17

The market finally ushered in a breakthrough on Friday, and a big triangle consolidation from October 8 to now has basically ended. This is only the Shanghai Stock Exchange Index, while the Shenzhen Stock Exchange Index and the Growth Enterprise Market Index are still in the process of triangle consolidation, so it is still difficult to form a consistent upward expectation. In the future, the probability will be mainly divided, and there will be no overall upward trend.Before the US stock market closed on Friday (December 6), the employment situation report released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that the non-agricultural sector rebounded sharply in November, which was stronger than market expectations, and the unemployment rate rose to 4.2% as scheduled. According to specific data, the number of non-agricultural employees in the United States increased by 227,000 in November after the seasonal adjustment, the largest increase since March, higher than the market expectation of 200,000, and the data in October was revised from 12,000 to 36,000.At present, photovoltaic is more of a restorative rise in destocking, and it is difficult to get out of the trend market again. Unless new demand breaks out, expectations should not be too high.


Several important signals. . .This shows that the funds in the market are recognized for such expectations, so it is definitely no problem to rely on expectations here. Naturally, it is no problem to see effective breakthroughs. Unless there is nothing beyond expectations at the meeting, the market may fall back into the triangle arrangement again, otherwise it will continue to be optimistic.Several important signals. . .


In fact, the market should have been constrained in this way a long time ago. Many industries are prone to various kinds of production capacity, and an industry with good results is hard to survive because of various price wars, which also leads to a very long period for the whole industry to recover.The market finally ushered in a breakthrough on Friday, and a big triangle consolidation from October 8 to now has basically ended. This is only the Shanghai Stock Exchange Index, while the Shenzhen Stock Exchange Index and the Growth Enterprise Market Index are still in the process of triangle consolidation, so it is still difficult to form a consistent upward expectation. In the future, the probability will be mainly divided, and there will be no overall upward trend.This means that the probability of interest rate cuts is increased, the interference of not cutting interest rates is reduced, and more help is added for the market to choose an upward breakthrough.

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